Natchez, Mississippi 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
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NWS Forecast for Natchez MS
National Weather Service Forecast for:
Natchez MS
Issued by: National Weather Service Jackson, MS |
Updated: 4:15 am CDT Jun 6, 2025 |
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Today
 Sunny
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Tonight
 Increasing Clouds
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Saturday
 Partly Sunny
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Saturday Night
 Increasing Clouds
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Sunday
 Chance T-storms
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Sunday Night
 Chance T-storms
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Monday
 Showers Likely then T-storms Likely
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Monday Night
 Chance T-storms then Showers Likely
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Tuesday
 Showers then T-storms
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Hi 91 °F |
Lo 75 °F |
Hi 91 °F |
Lo 75 °F |
Hi 91 °F |
Lo 74 °F |
Hi 87 °F |
Lo 71 °F |
Hi 83 °F |
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Flood Advisory
Today
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Sunny, with a high near 91. Heat index values as high as 97. Southwest wind around 10 mph. |
Tonight
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Increasing clouds, with a low around 75. South southwest wind around 10 mph. |
Saturday
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Partly sunny, with a high near 91. Heat index values as high as 101. Southwest wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. |
Saturday Night
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Increasing clouds, with a low around 75. South southwest wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. |
Sunday
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A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 10am. Partly sunny, with a high near 91. West southwest wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. |
Sunday Night
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A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 74. South southwest wind around 5 mph. |
Monday
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Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 1pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 87. Southwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. |
Monday Night
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A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. South wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Tuesday
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Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 1pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 1pm. High near 83. South southwest wind around 5 mph becoming west in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. |
Tuesday Night
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A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. |
Wednesday
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Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 86. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Wednesday Night
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A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 72. |
Thursday
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Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 88. Chance of precipitation is 70%. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for Natchez MS.
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Weather Forecast Discussion
291
FXUS64 KJAN 060720
AFDJAN
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
220 AM CDT Fri Jun 6 2025
...New DISCUSSION...
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 220 AM CDT Fri Jun 6 2025
Through Tonight: This morning our area is at the interface
between suppression associated with a mid level ridge extending
from the western Gulf into the Lower MS Valley and a regime of
more active flow from the Great Plains through the Ohio Valley to
New England. This should result in generally drier conditions over
central and southern portions of the area with more opportunity
for passing shortwaves to result in shower activity over the
northern portion of the area. For today, most CAM guidance
suggests suppression will win out in most areas with mostly dry
conditions over the coming 24 hours, except along the US 82
corridor and over northeast/far east MS where there is greater
potential for development. The key mesoscale feature in the near
term will be an MCS evolving eastward from OK into AR early this
morning. Most guidance weakens this system before it reaches the
MS River, but even so, the outflow/ remnants could serve as a
focus for redevelopment farther east this afternoon. Given
marginally supportive deep shear and moderate to strong
instability, a few severe storms cannot be ruled out across mainly
northeastern portions of our area on the periphery of the upper
ridging. Damaging winds would be the primary threat.
This weekend: The ridging will begin to retreat with the more
active mesoscale storm track nudging further southward into our
area potentially as early as late morning Saturday. During the
time period from Saturday through Sunday and potentially
continuing into Monday, multiple periodic convective complexes are
expected to traverse our area, with potential for severe storms
given instability that is strong at times and deep shear that will
be generally sufficient. Within this type of regime, convection
may persist into nighttime and early morning periods given
lingering moderate instability within our muggy airmass. Again,
damaging winds will be the greatest threat with any severe storms.
We will continue to highlight severe potential during this time
frame in the HWO graphics.
Next work week: A front will sink southward and stall across the
Deep South. While this will provide some level of heat/temp relief
over much of the area, it will also keep greater rain chances
around through the remainder of the forecast period, with higher
coverage generally more favored during the daytime periods.
Heat stress: Before rain and the approaching front provide a
break from the current above average temps and humidity, heat
indices will have the potential to breach the triple digits both
today and Saturday. The experimental NWS HeatRisk is highlighting
the potential for greater impacts especially along and south of
I-20. Given these factors including the early season timing and a
weekend period in which people are more likely to be outdoors, we
will highlight a limited heat stress threat over roughly the
southern half of the area. /DL/
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1223 AM CDT Fri Jun 6 2025
VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF period. Brief
lowering of categories possible at PIB & HBG between 06/10-13Z due
to some low stratus/fog concerns but probs were to low to mention
in TAFs. Some showers and isolated storms will be possible
Friday, with only low probs (35-55%) to only mention between
06/19-23Z at GTR & MEI./KP/
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson 92 75 93 74 / 20 0 20 20
Meridian 93 72 94 74 / 30 10 30 30
Vicksburg 93 75 94 75 / 10 0 10 20
Hattiesburg 95 75 96 76 / 20 10 20 10
Natchez 91 74 91 74 / 10 0 10 10
Greenville 91 75 92 73 / 20 20 40 60
Greenwood 92 75 92 73 / 20 20 50 60
&&
.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.
&&
$$
DL/KP
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