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Natchez, Mississippi 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
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NWS Forecast for Natchez MS
National Weather Service Forecast for:
Natchez MS
Issued by: National Weather Service Jackson, MS |
| Updated: 10:15 pm CDT May 24, 2026 |
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Tonight
Mostly Cloudy
then Slight
Chance
Showers
|
Memorial
Day
Chance
Showers then
Chance
T-storms
|
Monday
Night
Chance
T-storms
|
Tuesday
Showers
Likely
|
Tuesday
Night
Slight Chance
T-storms then
Slight Chance
Showers
|
Wednesday
Chance
T-storms then
T-storms
|
Wednesday
Night
Chance
T-storms
|
Thursday
Showers
|
Thursday
Night
Chance
T-storms
|
| Lo 68 °F |
Hi 84 °F |
Lo 68 °F |
Hi 84 °F |
Lo 71 °F |
Hi 86 °F |
Lo 71 °F |
Hi 84 °F |
Lo 71 °F |
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Tonight
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A 20 percent chance of showers after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. Calm wind. |
Memorial Day
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A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 84. Light and variable wind becoming east southeast 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Monday Night
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A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. East wind around 5 mph becoming calm. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Tuesday
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Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Partly sunny, with a high near 84. Calm wind becoming south southeast around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Tuesday Night
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A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 10pm, then a slight chance of showers between 10pm and 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. South southeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. |
Wednesday
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A chance of showers before 10am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 10am and 1pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 1pm. High near 86. South southeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. |
Wednesday Night
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A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. South southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. |
Thursday
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Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 84. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. |
Thursday Night
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A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1am, then a slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 40%. |
Friday
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A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 83. Chance of precipitation is 70%. |
Friday Night
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A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. |
Saturday
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A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 85. |
Saturday Night
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A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 70. |
Sunday
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A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 86. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for Natchez MS.
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Weather Forecast Discussion
565
FXUS64 KJAN 250105
AFDJAN
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
805 PM CDT Sun May 24 2026
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Periods of heavy rainfall and flash flooding will be possible
throughout this week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 142 PM CDT Sun May 24 2026
Through Memorial Day: A warm moist airmass will remain over the
region through the period a fuel the development of rounds of
showers and storms. Latest satellite imagery/RAP analysis showed the
circulation around a northern stream shortwave trough axis over
western Tennessee and northwest Mississippi and a weak cut off low
over the southern Plains. The shortwave trough will lift out to the
northeast while the weak cutoff low drifts east towards our CWA.
Combined with daytime heating this afternoon and again Monday, these
features will result in scattered to numerous shower and
thunderstorm develop over our CWA with the greatest chances for
rain over the southeast half. Only isolated showers were noted on
local radars at early afternoon but the coverage and intensity were
increasing. Latest guidance has backed off on rainfall amounts in
the short term but the 12Z Sun JAN sounding had a PWAT of an inch and
three quarters. PWATs are expected to increase to near two inches
and support locally heavy rainfall at times. There may be runoff
issues leading brief flooding over the southeast portions of the CWA
tonight and again Monday. /22/
Tuesday through Saturday: While guidance has pulled back on the
heavy rain threats for this weekend due to the eastward shift of the
MCV track, there is still a lot of guidance that suggest we`ll see a
good bit of rainfall later in the week, particularly in the Tue-Thu
time frame. During this time frame, a reinvigorated western CONUS
trough will result in more favorable orientation of water vapor
transport into our forecast area. Confidence in the overall flood
threat is not great in light of recent guidance inconsistencies, but
the ingredients for heavy rainfall, including the potential for
training convection to develop in a very moist and precip-efficient
airmass, remain in our region, along with fairly high soil moisture.
Will therefore maintain a limited threat for flash flooding in our
HWO graphics and hold off on any threat increases until there is an
overwhelming amount of observational/guidance support to justify it.
Otherwise, we should expect higher than normal rain chances and
typical late May temperatures as we go through mid/late week into
next weekend. /EC/
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 650 PM CDT Sun May 24 2026
VFR conditions will prevail through a majority of the TAF period.
By 08Z MVFR/IFR conditions will prevail as BR/-RA begins to
increase in coverage across the area. Conditions will improve
towards the end of the period as conditions improve & ceilings
lift./KP/
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson 67 82 68 83 / 50 60 50 80
Meridian 67 81 68 81 / 50 70 60 90
Vicksburg 67 83 67 84 / 40 50 30 70
Hattiesburg 68 81 69 82 / 50 70 60 90
Natchez 68 84 68 84 / 40 50 50 70
Greenville 67 82 68 84 / 40 40 50 70
Greenwood 67 83 67 84 / 40 50 50 70
&&
.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.
&&
$$
22/EC/KP
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